Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 9.844226 11.379614 13.024732 14.912735 17.013597 19.273536 21.882294
2025-06-29 7.965203 9.977919 12.269231 15.050921 18.315719 22.004843 26.466412
2025-07-06 6.699152 8.987446 11.728552 15.213003 19.480405 24.491110 30.770498
2025-07-13 5.889421 8.388854 11.517214 15.651282 20.895459 27.247792 35.437798
2025-07-20 5.200805 7.829475 11.254046 15.939527 22.069912 29.698680 39.775964
2025-07-27 4.537644 7.207078 10.820637 15.928826 22.806328 31.578032 43.421403
2025-08-03 3.792459 6.371378 10.003776 15.312145 22.667141 32.278941 45.537273
2025-08-10 3.286757 5.816700 9.512054 15.076530 22.985167 33.543322 48.379875
2025-08-17 2.829166 5.276121 8.981956 14.728263 23.098726 34.503485 50.813680
2025-08-24 2.481233 4.864608 8.599615 14.551263 23.418858 35.726675 53.608922
2025-08-31 2.143691 4.426978 8.132933 14.203504 23.454745 36.532332 55.830099
2025-09-07 1.939481 4.192578 7.962927 14.286961 24.110756 38.213056 59.293984
2025-09-14 1.720742 3.907668 7.688487 14.190160 24.493305 39.520592 62.284292
2025-09-21 1.572576 3.734918 7.584462 14.352539 25.267497 41.409156 66.143538
2025-09-28 1.441338 3.577835 7.491732 14.521414 26.049578 43.323315 70.080481
2025-10-05 1.361647 3.513719 7.555478 14.949368 27.249124 45.885077 75.016838
2025-10-12 1.268278 3.409244 7.535919 15.229704 28.216846 48.118268 79.516969
2025-10-19 1.146536 3.227712 7.357480 15.220443 28.707905 49.632670 82.978442
2025-10-26 0.969919 2.897700 6.867065 14.626327 28.203764 49.590789 84.094047
2025-11-02 0.854217 2.689851 6.593477 14.399392 28.292508 50.460029 86.593337
2025-11-09 0.741240 2.469835 6.273931 14.063804 28.174814 50.990040 88.573960
2025-11-16 0.655947 2.305103 6.051784 13.893263 28.327027 51.944515 91.220503
2025-11-23 0.566943 2.114291 5.755182 13.558186 28.171048 52.389068 93.071975